Track real-time hotspots in the crypto space and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, July 3, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, fellow crypto enthusiasts! ☀ Check in for loyal fans 👍 Like for good fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Yesterday, a major turning point emerged on the macro front. The U.S. June non-farm payrolls increased by only 57k, far below the market expectation of 110k, and the April and May data were revised downward by a combined 74k. The sharp cooling of the job market led Wall Street to significantly lower its expectations for a Fed rate hike, with the market now betting that a rate hike will be delayed until the end of the year. Boosted by this, the U.S. dollar index fell to a two-week low of 100.87, and the crypto market saw a long-awaited broad-based rebound—Bitcoin hit a high of 62,178, Ethereum tested 1,723, and altcoins like SOL moved higher in tandem. However, note: due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday, the U.S. stock market will be closed all day today (July 3), and the crypto market will lose the important external variable of sentiment traction from equities. From today through the weekend, for three consecutive days, the market is likely to consolidate quietly within a narrow range with shrinking volume and reduced volatility. The sentiment premium from the non-farm data will take time to digest, and with thin liquidity over the weekend, the risk of wicks (sudden spikes) rises. Yibo will continue to track macro data, institutional fund flows, and on-chain changes, updating strategies in real time.

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Bitcoin rebounded yesterday from a low of 59,560 in the early session, confirmed support at 60k in the afternoon and surged straight up. In the evening, driven by the positive non-farm data and the U.S. stock market's correlation, it hit a high of 62,178, but volume failed to sustain, and it pulled back to consolidate around 61,100 by the end of the session. The daily chart formed a long upper shadow, indicating clear selling pressure in the 62,000-62,200 area. Currently, it is in a high-level consolidation phase after an oversold bounce. Due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday, the U.S. stock market will be closed from today through the weekend, and the crypto market will lose external sentiment traction. The market is expected to consolidate with shrinking volume in the 60,800-62,200 range. Resistance above at 62,000-62,200, break above targets 62,800-63,000; support below at 60,800-61,100, strong support at 60,000-60,300. For trading, long positions from lower levels can be partially reduced at 61,800-62,000. On a pullback to 60,800-61,100, a light long can be taken if it stabilizes. With thin liquidity over the weekend, strictly control position size and do not chase highs.

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Ethereum yesterday pulled back slightly from 1,646 to 1,596 in the early session, found support, confirmed 1,613 in the afternoon and pushed higher again. In the evening, driven by the positive non-farm data and the U.S. stock market's correlation, it surged straight up to a high of 1,723, then consolidated at a high level in the 1,686-1,710 range, currently trading around 1,700. The daily chart formed a long upper shadow, indicating clear selling pressure in the 1,720-1,730 area. It is currently in a high-level consolidation phase after an oversold bounce. Due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday, the U.S. stock market will be closed from today through the weekend, and the crypto market lacks external sentiment traction. The market is expected to consolidate with shrinking volume in the 1,680-1,720 range. Resistance above at 1,720-1,730, break above targets 1,750-1,780; support below at 1,680-1,690, strong support at 1,650-1,660. For trading, long positions from lower levels can be partially reduced at 1,715-1,720. On a pullback to 1,680-1,690, a light long can be taken if it stabilizes. On a rebound to 1,720-1,730, if it faces resistance, a short position can be taken. With thin liquidity over the weekend, strictly control position size.