$BTC Bottom macro call saya, dalam one trade

Just briefly—because even though there has been an explanation, there are still some (new) people who are confused about why I’m still holding on to the 60k level as my “bottom call level.”
The answer is quite simple: it’s the difference between actual trading and engagement farming. Where the engagement-farming actor tries to talk about the bottom with repeated posts about the level and vague and broad numbers, with the sole aim of being “right” (“we’ll rally,” “we’ll go higher than from here,” “a low point is forming,” “I’m closing my short,” etc.). Only to be able to tell you, “see, I told you so,” without mentioning or taking an actual position.
It’s very much about engagement farming—after all, that’s what creates traffic, all power to the engagement-farming actor.
But since we aim to trade this market optimally, that’s not interesting to us.
So let’s not identify ourselves with that. Let’s not try to “call the 60k bottom perfectly” and then update the post in a way that looks good after the fact, only trying to be right and nothing more, while deleting old wrong tweets, and so on.
Let’s treat this bottom call like any other call—direct calls that are worthy with realistic expectations (but bold). The same way a trade that’s actually worth it works, which I framed like that in the chart below.
60k is my estimate, 50k is the point where I no longer believe my bottom call is correct, and the new ATH is where I make money.
That’s a “risk-reward” ratio of 6.5+, a big one. It’s truly a bold and aggressive call, made since Feb.
Framing it this way is how actual profits come into being—especially when only a tiny minority believes, stays, and aligns their capital with it.
Of course, this is not the trade I do in the literal sense; it’s virtual trading. No serious person in this market takes a long position like this—you’ll lose a third of the profit in funding. This only represents my spot plan, and my weekly bottom bias (different from weekly bias—in weekly bias, it can include counter-trend rallies along the way).
Locally, things can change—I can cancel this plan earlier for good reasons, or stay a bit longer for more risk, even if only for very good reasons.
So with this, all the doubts and uncertainties about how I view and execute a direct bottom call are lifted.
The goal isn’t to call the bottom in an aggressively down-trending market to “scalp” a 100x long position on it. Again, you lose most of the profit in funding, so there’s no real added value there.
So even if it looks good, there’s no need to pin the bottom perfectly to make consistent money. In reality, it only helps create engagement and shape expectations.
There’s a reality check, there’s a plan, and trading continues.