#PredictWorldCupWin40000U

My Score prediction: Egypt 2-1 Australia

Here's why the numbers point that way:

The consensus pick is Egypt by one goal. The Playoffs' model projects a final score of 1-2, noting Egypt average 1.4 goals per game in their last five vs Australia's 0.6, and even with rotation around Salah, Marmoush and Trezeguet keep the attack dangerous.

Why 2-1 feels right: Australia's MLS-based core will sit deep and try to frustrate, but Egypt's extra attacking output and set-piece threat should break them twice. Australia likely nicks one from a corner or transition — they've relied on defensive discipline all tournament — but lack the wide runners (Leckie and Italiano are flagged as losses) to chase a second.

If Salah is confirmed out, drop it to 1-0 Egypt or even a 1-1 that goes to penalties. If he starts, the 2-1 stands.