The prediction market or the leading version is just too different. Last night, Belgium played against Senegal. I wasn’t planning to watch the match, but since Fable5 had just launched, I had it pull up the data for a quick analysis. I found that Belgium is ranked 20th in the world, while Senegal is 21st. And in the group stage, Senegal scored against strong teams, with its total group-stage goals ranking in the top three. Yet the win rate shown on Predict is only 24%—which means if they win, it’s four times the odds!

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