BTC/ETH Public Forecast | 2026.07.02 11:58

Yesterday's Review: Yesterday, the key inflection point for BTC was 58600~58800. Reclaiming 58800~59200 would indicate a more credible recovery, while losing 58150 would prioritize defense. Currently BTC is around 61017, with a 24-hour range of 58327~61324. The defense level was not effectively breached, then reclaimed 59200 and surged above 61000, fulfilling the recovery path. For ETH, the key level yesterday was 1580; reclaiming 1595 would indicate continued recovery. Currently ETH is around 1638.72, with a 24-hour range of 1565.30~1646.24. After recovering 1580, it pushed above 1635, also fulfilling the recovery pattern. For altcoins, yesterday's suggestion was to prioritize defense and only look for BTC-ETH resonance recovery. Today, after the defense, a short-term recovery window has opened, but it is not yet a full strong bull.

Overall Judgment Today: BTC and ETH are currently showing a bullish recovery, but not a daily-level reversal. Both are nearing the upper bands of the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, indicating recovery momentum from the bulls. However, the daily middle Bollinger Band for BTC is around 62400, and for ETH is around 1668, meaning prices have not truly reclaimed the daily strength/weakness inflection point. Today, treat it as "recovery reaching a resistance zone, wait for confirmation." Altcoins can be observed with a slightly more offensive stance, but chasing highs is not advisable.

BTC: Current price around 61017, 24-hour gain of about 3.11%, 24-hour range 58327~61324. The 1-hour price is close to the upper Bollinger Band at 61216, with MACD red bars continuing to expand. Short-term bulls are dominant, but it is already approaching the first resistance. On the 4-hour chart, price has moved above the upper Bollinger Band at 60972, showing stronger recovery momentum than early morning. However, the 4-hour MA100 is around 62240, and the daily middle Bollinger Band and MA20 are both around 62400, so there is still trend resistance above. The weekly and monthly charts are still in a recovery phase after a major decline, not a long-term reversal. Short-term support levels: 60600~60800; strong support: 59800~60000. Short-term resistance: 61200~61350; strong resistance: 62000~62400. Today's key inflection point: 60600~60800. Holding above this range will allow testing of 62000; falling below 60600 would cool the short-term recovery.

ETH: Current price around 1638.72, 24-hour gain of about 2.80%, 24-hour range 1565.30~1646.24. On the 1-hour chart, it is close to the upper Bollinger Band at 1647, MACD red bars expanding, volume above the 20-hour average volume, showing stronger short-term strength compared to yesterday. On the 4-hour chart, price has broken above the upper Bollinger Band at 1633, but the 4-hour MA100 and daily middle Bollinger Band are both concentrated around 1667~1668, which will be the next resistance. The daily chart is still in a wide sideways range at lower levels, and the weekly/monthly charts are only oversold recoveries, not confirming a trend reversal. Short-term support: 1620~1630; strong support: 1600~1608. Short-term resistance: 1646~1655; strong resistance: 1668~1680. Today's key inflection point: 1620~1630. Holding above this will continue testing 1668; falling below 1620 would reduce altcoin flexibility.

Today's Altcoin Synergy Judgment: Altcoins can be a bit more active today compared to yesterday, but only if BTC holds 60600~60800 and ETH holds 1620~1630. As long as these two inflection points hold, small coins still have room for rotational recovery. If BTC pulls back without volume in the 61200~62400 range, or if ETH faces resistance around 1668, altcoins are likely to follow a spike-and-retreat pattern. The biggest mistake today is chasing highs. The correct approach is to first look at large-cap support, then look for altcoin catch-up.

Public Edition Operating Principles: Do not chase highs; wait for key support confirmation. If BTC firmly holds above 61350 and ETH firmly holds above 1655, recovery can continue to spread. If BTC falls below 60600 and ETH falls below 1620, first reduce altcoin offensive expectations. The public edition provides only the general direction and key inflection points of the major coins. Full observation pool levels and individual coin strategies are in the subscription content.

Risk Warning: The above content is only market speculation and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets are highly volatile; pay attention to position sizing and stop-losses.