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🔴Americans Are "Battling" Inflation by Accumulating Debt
The Fed's G.19 report just released shows that U.S. consumer credit is accelerating again after one year - Americans have been forced to rely on "debt" for spending:
- Total consumer credit +$25B in March, rising to a record $5.14T (from $5.12T in February) - the largest monthly increase since March 2025.
- Auto loans and student loans (nonrevolving) +$15B to $3.80T, growing at an annualized rate of 4.7% (from 2.7% the previous month). Student loan debt alone hit ~$1.87T.
- Credit card debt (revolving) +$10B to $1.34T - the highest level since November 2024. This is also the main driver of this acceleration.
-> Overall in Q1 2026, consumer credit grew 3.2% (annualized), with credit cards being the main driver.
The structure of the added debt: Credit cards - the highest-interest type of debt and typically used to cover short-term essential spending - is accelerating significantly faster than nonrevolving debt (long-term loans for assets like cars, education). When households choose to "swipe the card" instead of taking out installment loans, it is often a sign of immediate cash flow pressure, not healthy long-term investment/consumption demand.
This is a variable the Fed also needs to monitor in the second half of 2026. If this trend continues while the savings rate does not improve, the risk of declining purchasing power and rising credit card delinquency rates will be a point to note for scenarios of the U.S. economy's landing.