Track real-time hot topics in the crypto circle, seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, July 2, 2026. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, fellow crypto friends ☀ Loyal fans check in 👍 Like for big fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Yesterday, the macro side released positive signals: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that inflation expectations and inflation risks have eased in recent weeks. Coupled with ADP employment data coming in below expectations, U.S. bond yields declined, and market concerns about aggressive rate hikes have marginally cooled. At the same time, Trump said talks in Qatar are progressing smoothly, and optimism over U.S.-Iran negotiations eased crude supply concerns. Lower oil prices further alleviated inflationary pressures.

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Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. June non-farm payroll data will be released. The market expects about 110k new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.3%. However, White House officials have pre-released "strong" signals, so there is a possibility of data exceeding expectations. If employment data significantly strengthens, it will reinforce the expectation of Fed rate hikes, which is negative for gold and the crypto market, and high-valuation tech stocks in the U.S. stock market will also face pressure. If the data is moderate or falls short of expectations, the previously overpriced "rate hike trade" may be corrected, and risk assets may get a breather. In terms of operation, it is recommended to stay light and wait before the data release. After the release, wait for 15-30 minutes of K-line confirmation of direction before acting, strictly control positions, and do not gamble.

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The crypto market also saw a long-awaited rebound yesterday. Bitcoin dipped to a low of 57746 during the session, then oscillated upward, hitting around 61300 in the evening, with an intraday rebound of over 3500 points. Ethereum followed suit, starting from a low around 1540, reaching a high of 1646, a rebound of over 100 points. Both major coins found buying support in the recent low area, and sentiment has somewhat returned during the session. However, from a technical perspective, this is still an oversold rebound and does not constitute a trend reversal signal. Intraday focus on whether BTC can break through the resistance zone of 61500-62000 with volume, and the gain or loss of ETH at 1650-1660. If the rebound stalls, there may be a need for a retest and confirmation. In operation, you can participate in the rebound with a light position, but strictly control your position and patiently wait for the trend to further clarify. Yibo will continue to track macro data, institutional capital flows, and on-chain changes, and update strategies in real time.