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Retail investor: I sell weekly options. Quick premium, quick money.
Me: How do you actually know what a stock does in the next 5 days?
Retail investor: I watch the charts, read the setups.
Me: Be real... does ANYONE on earth know what a stock does next week?
Retail investor: ...no. Even when I'm dead sure, I'm wrong half the time.
Me: That's the key thing... the short term is pure noise. Selling weeklies is guessing a coin flip 52 times a year.
Retail investor: So what do you do instead?
Me: I sell portfolio secured puts a YEAR out. I'm not guessing next week.
I'm betting a great company I bought cheap is higher in a year or 2.
THAT I can be confident in.
Don't bet on a short term move that nobody alive can predict...
Weeklies are a coin flip you take 52 times a year.
Sell long duration. Stop guessing. Take the cashflow to buy more shares/calls.