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First, the conclusion: CRCL can be bought.
But you need to wait.
Wait until no one is discussing this stock.
Wait until no one is discussing the crypto market trends.
Just wait.
If you can't pinpoint the timing and want to cling to a fixed idea, then lower your expected price a bit.
I don't want to discuss things like moats.
I only look at a few points.
Is the price attractive? (How low can it go, how high can it rise?)
(Risk-reward ratio)
If a bull market comes, does it have the potential to create FOMO sentiment?
(Rebound strength)