Ken Paxton's probability of winning has risen sharply.

ME News, May 21 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that in the event of "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner", the probability of the "Yes" option for the prediction of "Can Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican primary?" rose from 46.0% to 94.5%, a single-day increase of 48.5 percentage points.
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