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Good morning everyone, today is already the last day of June, and before we know it, half of 2026 has passed. The first half of the year saw many ups and downs, and many people have witnessed the changes in the market. As for how the second half will go, I believe everyone is looking forward to it, hoping to welcome a true opportunity for the crypto market.
From the chart perspective, the current trend is basically consistent with yesterday's analysis. The overall market is predominantly consolidating sideways on the daily timeframe, with funds not choosing a clear direction. Next, we need to focus on whether the 60000 level can hold stable. If it can continue to stabilize, there will be opportunities to gradually see a recovery.
It is worth noting that, under the condition of no major fluctuations in the overall market, some altcoins have already started to rebound first, and market sentiment has also warmed up compared to a few days ago. However, this rebound is currently more based on the stability of the overall market. If Bitcoin pulls back again, whether altcoins can continue to strengthen remains to be seen, so do not blindly chase highs for now.
On the news front, the US-Iran technical negotiations remain the focus of the market. Although the two sides have reached an agreement, this agreement is more just a beginning. There is a long-term lack of trust between the two sides, and there are still many uncertainties about whether it can be truly implemented. Therefore, the market as a whole remains cautious. This week, we need to continue monitoring whether the two sides can smoothly advance the next phase of technical negotiations and whether there will be new progress on the details of the agreement. All of these could affect market sentiment.
In terms of capital, as of yesterday, crypto ETFs saw a net inflow of approximately $75 million. Although it remains net positive, the amount is not large, and overall trading activity is average. This indicates that institutional funds are still mainly in a wait-and-see mode, with no signs of large-scale accumulation. Going forward, we need to continue monitoring whether ETF capital can sustain consecutive inflows, which would be helpful for market confidence.
For today's trend, I still maintain yesterday's judgment. It is expected to be dominated by consolidation and range-bound movement, making it more suitable for intraday short-term trading. I do not recommend blindly chasing highs at current levels.
Reference range:
BTC: 58500—61000
ETH: 1550—1650
SOL: 72—77
On operations, remain patient and wait for the market to truly establish a direction before considering adding positions. Before the trend is clear, controlling positions and risk is more important than rushing to enter. I hope the second half of the year will bring better market conditions, and I wish everyone the best in seizing their own opportunities.
$ETH $SOL $BTC