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US-Iran diplomatic talks predicted probability dropped 31.5 percentage points in a single day.

2026-06-29 20:16:33

ME News update: On April 24 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that in the event “In the U.S.-Iran diplomatic meeting…?”, the probability of the “Yes” option for “Diplomatic talks to be held before May 5, 2026” fell from 71.5% to 40.0%, a single-day drop of 31.5 percentage points.

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