From the 4-hour level chart of ETH,


I still lean toward the view that a recovery phase will occur first,
rather than a direct continuation of the one-sided decline.
First, the bearish momentum of the MACD indicator continues to shrink,
and the sell-off force on the chart has significantly weakened.
The market is transitioning from the previous panic release phase
to an emotional recovery cycle.
Second, trading volume has been shrinking recently,
indicating that bears' willingness to push prices down further has greatly decreased,
while bulls have not yet entered a full-force stage.
The current chart is more in a state of accumulation waiting for direction.
Third, the market funding rate has remained low and positive,
and long positions are not at all overcrowded.
This means that even if a rebound occurs later,
it will not be an overheated short squeeze.
The recovery trend has sufficient room to continue. $ETH
ETH2.86%
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LpGrandma
· 06-29 16:12
I agree with the four-hour recovery expectation, but we need to keep a close eye on the key level of 1950; if it can't hold, it's a fake rebound.
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GateUser-0aa20a11
· 06-29 15:29
The funding rate hasn't blown up, indicating that longs haven't FOMO'd yet. There is indeed room for recovery, but don't expect a V-shaped reversal.
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GoldfishOnIce
· 06-29 15:29
MACD tops out + volume contracts—this script is familiar to me. First consolidate for two days, then choose a direction.
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