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After the sharp drop in ETH, the bottom has been tested three times without breaking! Institutions remain patient and inactive—what signal are they waiting for?
The sentiment in the crypto space recently can be summed up in four words: widespread panic.
In just one week, ETH plummeted from 1850 to a low of 1520, with a maximum drop of nearly 18%.
Retail investors have either cut losses or run away, with most already bearish and mentally broken.
But everyone has overlooked one highly unusual detail:
While retail investors are fleeing in panic, institutions and whales are quietly buying the dip at low levels!
1. Hard Data: ETH Tested the Bottom Three Times Without Breaking!
Current ETH price: 1580, slightly up by 0.77% intraday.
Don't underestimate this small gain—it's significant: This is the first time ETH has closed green and stabilized after five consecutive days of sharp declines.
Over the past three days, a very textbook bottoming pattern has formed: ETH tested the low-level support three times in a row, and each time it was strongly bought up!
✅ First bottom test (June 26): Low of 1521 → quickly bounced back to 1570
✅ Second bottom test (June 27): Low of 1548 → rebounded to 1611
✅ Third bottom test (Early June 29): Low of 1549 → steadily recovered to 1580
The bottom range of 1520–1550 was hit three times, and each time it held!
Ask yourself:
When retail investors panic sell, there is no buying power to absorb the sell-off. Who could consistently support the same low level three times in a row?
There's only one answer: long-term institutions and large whales buying at the bottom.
2. Understanding Volume: Institutions Are Not Selling Right Now!
Many are puzzled:
If someone is buying, why isn't the price surging?
The core truth: We are in a period of shrinking volume and wait-and-see.
Let me show you real trading volume data to understand institutional intentions at a glance:
- June 26 (crash day): High volume, panic selling concentrated
- June 27 (recovery day): Still high volume, short-term capital speculation
- Today (bottoming phase): Volume has shrunk significantly
In plain English:
The retail investors who were supposed to flee have already fled.
The short positions that were supposed to be hit have already been hit.
Now, institutions are neither selling nor buying aggressively.
They are patiently waiting for a clear signal, unwilling to waste ammunition during the volatile period.
Currently, the market is only lacking three directional catalysts:
1. US stock market and latest US economic data guidance
2. The stance of the July Fed rate meeting
3. Whether Bitcoin can hold the 60,000 mark
Without these signals, institutions will not act proactively.
3. Three Future Scenarios Explained Clearly (Most Down-to-Earth)
Scenario 1: Hold 1550, steady rebound (50% probability)
Bottoming complete, oscillating upward
Short-term target: 1610–1650
Action: Hold positions, don't suffer the last panic loss, wait patiently for recovery
Scenario 2: Retest the 1520 bottom again (40% probability)
This is the final shakeout to trap bears
1520–1550 is a completely safe zone to accumulate positions in batches
Scenario 3: Effectively breaks below 1500 (10% probability)
Only triggered by extreme negative news
If broken, stop loss and wait, look for a new bottom at 1450
4. A Truth No One Has Noticed: ETH Bottoms Before BTC!
Comparing the overall decline:
- BTC: From 65,800 → 58,107, a drop of 11.7%
- ETH: From 1850 → 1520, a drop of 17.8%
ETH fell deeper and harder,
but its bottom structure is far more solid than Bitcoin's!
BTC is still oscillating between 58,000–60,000, repeatedly testing new lows,
while ETH has already completed a triple bottom and solidified its foundation.
The market rule never changes:
The ones that fell the hardest, once stabilized, rebound the fastest!
As long as Bitcoin stabilizes next week without making new lows,
ETH will undoubtedly be the first leader to launch a rebound!
5. A Sincere Word to All Retail Investors
All major bottoms follow the same process:
Violent sell-off → Panic sentiment → Shrinking volume bottom grinding → Oscillating bottom formation → Rebound begins
Right now, ETH is in the most critical phase:
Panic clearing and shrinking volume bottom building.
Always remember the trading rule:
Do not sell in extreme panic, and do not chase in extreme greed.
Below 1550: Institutions are quietly accumulating
Above 1610: Short-term capital takes profits
Understand this range,
and you'll understand the entire trend for the coming week!
Are you holding a position and buying the dip, or still waiting on the sidelines? Share your thoughts in the comments section 👇
#ETH #Bitcoin #crypto #行情分析