South Korea's stock market plunges 9% in one day, crypto market liquidates $790k in one day—whose bubble will burst first?



Have you ever seen a main board index drop 9% in a single day?

On June 29, South Korea's KOSPI crashed 9% intraday, triggering a 20-minute trading halt. KOSDAQ hit a circuit breaker. Samsung Electronics fell over 5%, SK hynix dropped nearly 5%.

The same day, the crypto market saw $326 million in liquidations over 24 hours, with 87.5% being long positions. Bitcoin dropped to $59,366.

Two markets, same day, same scenario—leverage cascade.

First, look at South Korea. How crazy did it get?

South Korea's KOSPI skyrocketed from around 2,000 points in mid-2025 to nearly 9,000 points by June 2026. A 300% gain in one year.

Who's buying? Retail investors buying on margin.

South Korean retail investors poured 79 trillion won (approximately $51.8 billion) into KOSPI this year. Retail investors' margin borrowing on KOSPI hit a record 29 trillion won, up 71% from the end of 2025. By the end of May, that number surged to 39.4 trillion won, double that of the same period last year.

South Korean retail investors' leverage multiples range from 2x to 5x. The minimum margin requirement for South Korean brokerages' margin financing is as low as 40%, theoretically allowing up to 2.5x leverage. There are also 2x leveraged ETFs for individual stocks.

Borrowing money to trade stocks, maxing out leverage.

The Bank of Korea itself warned: if stock prices correct, leveraged investors' losses will amplify. Once the decline hits 16% to 36%, it will trigger large-scale margin calls.

In the first five months of this year, forced liquidation trading volume on South Korean leveraged ETFs reached 1.94 trillion won, 2.5 times that of the same period last year.

This is not investing; this is gambling with your life.

Now look at crypto—it's no less intense.

On June 29, $326 million was liquidated across the network, 87.5% of which were longs. On Hyperliquid, 99.99% of liquidations were long positions.

Bitcoin dropped to $59k, Ethereum to $1,563.

Before this drop, DeFi's overall outstanding loans year-over-year growth exceeded 37%. Borrowing money to buy coins—is there essentially any difference from South Korean retail investors borrowing money to buy stocks?

No.

So the question is—whose bubble will burst first?

South Korea's leverage is tied to three stocks.

Samsung Electronics and SK hynix together account for nearly 60% of the KOSPI index weight. The entire country's stock market's lifeline rests on two chip companies.

What are retail investors borrowing to buy? Exactly these two. The leveraged ETFs track these two as well.

One basket, two eggs, and all borrowed money.

Crypto market leverage is tied to Bitcoin.

When Bitcoin falls below $60k, the entire network liquidates. When Bitcoin recovers to $60k, longs revive. The entire market's sentiment rests on one asset.

Two markets, the same script: high leverage + high concentration = fragile as glass.

But there is one key difference—

The leveraged funds in South Korea's stock market come from bank loans and broker margin financing. If you lose money, you have to repay. If you can't repay, banks face bad debt, systemic risk.

The leveraged funds in the crypto market come from on-chain lending and exchange contracts. Once liquidated, it goes to zero, no need to repay. The loss rests on the investors themselves.

Whose bubble breaking is more terrifying?

When South Korea's breaks, it's a financial system risk. When crypto's breaks, it's wealth redistribution.

"Same leverage, different people paying the bill.

South Korean retail investors lose and have to repay debt; crypto retail investors lose and can only accept their fate."

Apple and Microsoft have already announced hardware price hikes due to rising storage chip prices. AI costs are flowing from data centers to consumers.

South Korean retail investors are still borrowing to rush in.

Crypto players are still opening 125x leverage.

Guess who will crack first?

(By the way, foreign investors have already net sold 127 trillion won worth of South Korean stocks this year, taking profits and exiting. The ones catching the falling knife? All South Korean retail investors borrowing money. Does this scene look familiar?)#0成本拿2股SK海力士 #美光市值超越Meta跻身全美前十 $BTC $ETH $MU
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