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2026.6.29 9:51 AM BTC/ETH/XAU/US Stock Market Analysis
Last week the market was dominated by capital outflows. Last week, US stock equity funds saw a net outflow of $3.53 billion, the tech sector outflows reached $20 billion, crypto ETFs had outflows for 7 consecutive weeks, and net outflows last week were $1.79 billion;
Various signs indicate that North American market capital is shifting from risk assets to cash flow. Regarding holding stocks or holding cash, under the expectation of interest rate hikes, the concept of "cash is king" is gradually emerging!
BTC support/resistance levels: 67135/63650/59800/57500/48900
ETH support/resistance levels: 2100/1950/1550/1385
This morning, BTC just tested the 58888 level and did not continue to decline with volume. During the day, continue to watch whether 58800 will be effectively broken. It can break below and recover, it can break below and consolidate with low volume, but if it breaks below and continues to decline with volume, then just wait and see!
ETH follows BTC trend. Actively allocate 40% spot position in BTC and ETH; spot can be held long-term;
XAU retraced to 4051 in early trading. Pay attention to whether 3975-4000 will ultimately break down and continue to decline. This week the small and large non-farm payrolls will be released, especially the big non-farm data. If the market has no more stimulating news, gold will have a high need for oscillation before the big non-farm. Under the expectation of rate hikes, as long as the rate hike expectation remains unchanged, gold's long-term bottom is still far off;
Last week, US stock tech sector funds saw $20 billion in outflows. The main force is frantically running away from high levels - not a good signal. Note that hot US stocks can be traded in swings with stop losses, but it is absolutely not the time to hold for the long term. Although US stocks are good, don't be greedy!
The operation suggestion does not constitute any investment basis: The early Monday decline is not big. If you can bear it, you can see if there is an opportunity to scalp around 19:35 in the evening! Spot positions are still waiting; just enter 30-40% in BTC or ETH!
#USD1链上质押享年化9.48%