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The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio just printed its lowest RSI reading in two months.
The same level that marked the bottom of every major correction since 2020.
Bear markets in this ratio have historically lasted 50-60 weeks. We’ve already passed that window — and the ratio has been trending higher.
On the macro side, the key drivers of inflation are rolling over at the same time:
Oil down ~30% since March
Fed shifting toward real-time data
Weakening US Dollar
This is the classic regime — lower inflation, rising liquidity, weak dollar, long hard assets — that has preceded Bitcoin’s strongest moves.
We may still get one final flush. October has been a seasonal low point in prior cycles.
But the frame that matters most:
If Bitcoin goes to $500K this cycle, the difference between buying at $40K or $60K is noise.
What matters is being positioned before the rotation feels obvious.
The back half of bear markets is where real positions are built.
Not because it feels good.
Because the signals say so.
$BTC $ETH