BTC/ETH Morning Forecast | 2026.06.28

Overall judgment today: Both BTC and ETH are in a low-level recovery phase after a sharp drop during the morning session, but this is not yet a strong reversal. BTC is currently around 60,000, and ETH is around 1,573. Both are undergoing repeated 1-hour level repairs in the short term, while the 4-hour level is still suppressed by the upper moving averages and the middle Bollinger Band. On the daily chart, BTC has not yet reclaimed above 61,000 after falling from above 65k, and ETH has not effectively recovered 1,600 after falling from above 1,700. Today looks more like "waiting for direction after weak consolidation." Altcoins as a whole should not be aggressively traded, with a defensive rhythm. Only if BTC stabilizes above 60,000 and ETH reclaims 1,588–1,600 will altcoins have room for localized recovery.
BTC: Current price around 60,000, with a 24-hour range of approximately 59,530.7–60,924.7, showing slight weakness with small fluctuations over 24 hours. On the 1-hour structure, last night's rebound from around 59,500 to near 60,900 has now pulled back. Short-term MACD repair momentum is weakening, and the price is oscillating near the middle Bollinger Band without significant volume. On the 4-hour structure, the low has risen from 58,030 to 59,530, but resistance at 60,850–61,000 remains clear, and moving averages are still bearishly aligned. The daily structure remains a low-level consolidation after the decline, with weekly and monthly lines also indicating weak repair after a previous large-scale pullback. Short-term support is at 59,800–60,000, with strong support at 59,060–59,530; short-term resistance is at 60,650–60,950, with strong resistance at 61,800–62,000. Today's key pivot is at 60,000. Only if it holds above this level can we expect oscillatory repair; if it breaks and loses volume, the bias will turn defensive again.
ETH: Current price around 1,573, with a 24-hour range of approximately 1,561.69–1,610.44, showing a peak-and-pullback pattern over 24 hours. On the 1-hour structure, ETH has fallen from 1,610 to around 1,570 in the morning session, and is still oscillating between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands. Short-term MACD repair appears to be stalling. On the 4-hour structure, there was a rebound from the previous low of 1,510, but it has not held above the 1,588–1,600 zone, and moving average suppression remains. The daily structure is more sensitive than BTC; 1,600 is the emotional line. If it cannot reclaim this level, it will likely drag down altcoin resilience. Weekly and monthly lines are still in a weak consolidation box of 1,500–1,700. Short-term support is at 1,560–1,570, with strong support at 1,510–1,530; short-term resistance is at 1,588–1,600, with strong resistance at 1,630–1,660. Today's key pivot is at 1,588. Only if it holds above this level can we expect continued repair; if it falls back below 1,560, the short-term bias will weaken.
Altcoin correlation judgment today: Altcoins should not engage in independent fantasies detached from BTC/ETH today. Only after BTC holds 60,000 and ETH reclaims 1,588 will altcoins have a repair window. Focus on coins that were previously resilient and have synchronized volume recovery. If BTC breaks below 60,000, especially toward 59,530 or lower, defend altcoins first. If ETH underperforms BTC and remains suppressed below 1,588, altcoin resilience is usually capped, and chasing small coins tends to result in peaks and pullbacks.
Public version trading principles: Do not chase today; watch the pivots first. BTC 60,000 and ETH 1,588 are the most important bull/bear observation lines this morning. If the pivots are broken with volume, the public version should focus on reducing positions and lowering frequency. After reclaiming key resistance, then observe whether the repair continues. For the full observation pool and individual coin strategies, refer to the subscription newsletter or group documents.

Risk Disclaimer: The above content is only market speculation and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets are highly volatile; pay attention to position management and stop-losses.