📊 TRADING PERFORMANCE & FEAR AND GREED INDEX (FGI) REPORT – UPDATED 27/06/2026

The latest statistical data shows that the correlation between FGI and Winrate remains low and continues to lean negative (r ~ -0.299). This reinforces the view that FGI is not suitable as a tool for forecasting price direction or identifying entry points, but it still has practical value in measuring position risk. In general, trading performance tends to decline when market sentiment enters extreme euphoria, making FGI more useful as an early risk-warning signal rather than a signal for expanding profit expectations.

Below is a summary of Winrate (WR), minimum breakeven R:R, and number of recorded days (n) across sentiment zones:

🤑 Extreme Greed (≥80): WR 40.5% • R:R=1:1.47 • n=25

😪 Greed (60–80): WR 45.1% • R:R=1:1.22 • n=215

😐 Neutral (40–60): WR 45.2% • R:R=1:1.21 • n=150

😨 Fear (20–40): WR 47.3% • R:R=1:1.11 • n=225

😱 Extreme Fear (<20): WR 52.4% • R:R=1:0.91 • n=110

Percentage of days with performance above the average level (46.76%) by sentiment zone:

🤑 Extreme Greed: 8.0%

😪 Greed: 36.3%

😐 Neutral: 38.0%

😨 Fear: 53.8%

😱 Extreme Fear: 68.2%

➤ Scalpers can use FGI as a guide to adjust expected profit targets when entering trades:

📈 When FGI is high, traders should require a higher profit target to maintain a sufficient R:R and offset the risk of a lower win rate.

📉 When FGI is low, traders may lower profit expectations to improve capital rotation speed and make profit realization easier.

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