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Crypto Daily — 2026.6.26
$BTC back to $60 K, but the $11 B-level options expiry, ETF outflows, and high-leverage liquidations still keep the market in a highly volatile range.
1. $BTC rebounded from around $58 K to the $60 K level, turning slightly positive in 24h, but still under pressure above $65 K–$68 K. The market looks more like a technical repair rather than a trend reversal.
2. Quarterly options expiry scale is about $10.6 B–$11 B, of which $BTC notional scale is about $9.06 B and $ETH about $1.57 B. The max pain points are at $70 K and $2 K respectively, short-term volatility is significantly amplified.
3. . Gate / $GT: $GT today +0.6%, the trend is mildly recovering, still below the previous strong range.
4. Michael Saylor reiterated Strategy’s $BTC long-term holding stance; at the same time, Strategy-related legal and financing pressures remain one of the market concerns.
5. On-chain data shows that 4 $ETH wallets dormant for about 8 years sold 33,623 $ETH at an average price of about $1,560, realizing profits of about $27.4 M; additionally, high-leverage $ETH long positions have expanded cumulative losses to about $33.85 M.
6. $MAGMA 24 h up +70.7%, volume about $12.0 M, becoming the strongest altcoin today, a low-liquidity high-elasticity pump, with high risk of chasing.
7. Altcoins: $VELVET, $BEAT, $TAC, $KAITO up +23.4% / +19.8% / +18.8% / +18.4% respectively, with heat concentrated on on-chain finance, gaming/social, AI, and data narratives; $SOL also rebounded +6.7%, driving ecological sentiment recovery.
Market Status
$BTC currently $59,646 (+0.2%); $ETH currently $1,562.85 (-0.5%). $GT +0.6%, platform tokens overall slightly recovered, but have not yet escaped weak oscillation.
Next Day Brief
$BTC bullish probability 46/100, bearish 54/100; altcoin sentiment has warmed significantly compared to yesterday, but still leans toward short-term rotation.
Expected tomorrow $BTC volatility range -1.8% to +2.4%, key level watch $60 K. If it holds $61.5 K, there is a chance to bounce back to $63 K–$64 K; if it falls back below $58.5 K, the market may retest yesterday's low range.