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Apple took a pretty hard hit today 🍎
Latest price $275.15, yesterday's close was $293.17, today opened and went down, lowest touched $273.75, daily drop nearly -6.2%. More notably, the trading volume has reached 102 million shares today, while the 10-day average volume is only 55.26 million shares, almost double the daily average, indicating this is not a casual sell-off but someone seriously reducing positions.
Apple's current situation is quite delicate, with several lines pressing down at the same time ⬇️
First is TSMC's price increase
Apple's M4 and A18 chips run on TSMC's most advanced process, and TSMC is raising prices across the board by 5-10%, with Apple not on the exception list. The problem is that Apple's profit margins are already thin, and whether the price increase can be passed on to consumers is a real question. The market is pricing in this uncertainty.
Second is today's PCE data
Headline PCE year-over-year 4.1%, core 3.4%, a three-year high. Fed's Williams said inflation returning to 2% may not happen until 2028. This directly pressures high-valuation tech stocks, and Apple's P/E ratio was already struggling under this interest rate expectation.
Third is structural
Apple's 52-week high is $317.4, now at $275, down nearly 13% from the high. The 50-day moving average is at $291, already broken today, and the 200-day moving average is at $269, now only a few dollars away from testing. If $270 cannot hold and the 200-day MA breaks, the technical picture will be really ugly.
My view on Apple is that this round of decline feels like being squeezed from both sides: TSMC pushing up costs on the supply side, consumer downgrading in a high-interest-rate environment on the demand side, and AI investments continuing to burn cash. The combination of these three factors is quite damaging to valuation. Apple is not the kind of company that will collapse quickly, but under this macro backdrop, carrying a $2.6 trillion market cap, its flexibility is relatively limited.
This wave of heavy-volume sell-off today, technically in the short term, probably still needs time to digest. $270 is a key support level. If it holds, it may stabilize; if not, look towards $260. For a rebound, first see if it can reclaim $285 and above; that would count as a valid recovery.
DYOR not financial advice #USStocks
$AAPL