CME expects a 32.7% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged (350-375 basis points) in September 2026, a 50.7% probability of a 25 basis point hike, and a 16.6% probability of a 50 basis point hike to 400-425 basis points. So there's no reason not to fall.



The morning report's short position on BTC at 63,200 and short position on ETH at 1,680 have reached the target—reduce part of the position, lock in profits, and hold the rest firmly!

#0成本拿2股SK海力士 #以太坊基金会重组降本 #苏格兰VS巴西
BTC-2.73%
ETH-2.97%
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PerpNightwatch
· 4h ago
ETH 1680 held firmly on the long side, while the foundation’s restructuring to cut costs remains a bearish narrative in the near term
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CapitalFlowInATeacup
· 5h ago
Congratulations on turning a short position into solid gains—but what’s going on with SK Hynix’s tag? Riding the hype?
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BridgeBurned
· 6h ago
The Federal Reserve is already setting prices for September 2026—this forward-looking expectations battle is too intense.
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TheSkyInsideTheMirroredSphere
· 6h ago
CME's data is quite interesting. The probability of a rate hike has passed half, but the market hasn't fully priced it in yet, right?
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