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ETF continuous net outflows, but whales are leveraging up to go long.
Yesterday, Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $68.3 million, Ethereum ETFs outflowed $66.1 million, and BlackRock's IBIT had a single-day outflow of $172 million.
Meanwhile, two addresses opened a total of $175 million in BTC long positions on Hyperliquid, one of which used 40x leverage.
The divergence is obvious.
ETF outflows indicate institutional funds are retreating, especially with large outflows from products like BlackRock’s, suggesting arbitrage or safe-haven funds are exiting.
But on-chain whales are choosing to heavily long near $64k, betting on a short-term bottom or rebound.
This kind of divergence isn’t new, but the scale is worth noting.
The $175 million long positions are concentrated in two addresses, with high leverage, and if the direction is wrong, liquidation could trigger a chain reaction.
If ETF outflows accelerate, it could suppress prices, creating a negative feedback loop.
The market is now in a fragile balance: technical signs of bottoming (weekly RSI divergence, long-term holder holdings hitting new highs), but funding and macro factors (US stock futures falling, Korea stock market circuit breaker) are not optimistic.
Both bulls and bears are betting on the other side making a mistake.
For ordinary traders, the most taboo thing at this time is to follow the trend blindly.
Whale positions don’t determine the overall direction, and ETF outflows don’t mean the end of the world.
The key is whether funding rates turn positive, ETF outflows slow down, and macro risks further spread.
Until signals are clear, it’s safer to stay on the sidelines than to gamble on the direction.
$eth #btc #hype #etf #On-chain data