$BTC Are bear markets getting less severe over time? Percentage-wise, yes, that's been the trend.



86%, 84%, 77%.

Data-wise, no. Unlike cycle tops which show a clear diminishing across nearly all data, cycle bottoms have been very consistent.

Logarithmic MVRV is not at cycle bottom levels. The very accurate and more conservative cycle bottom target of the Realized Market Cap MA, 42.5k, has not been reached.

A move there would be a 66% drop which is still over 10% less than last cycle's bear market.

And again, more aggressive cycle bottom targets like the magic band's low 30k's are not off the table.
BTC-0.71%
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Falcon_Official
· 1h ago
2026 GOGOGO 👊
Reply0
GateUser-470bc925
· 2h ago
A magic carry of 30k... I can't imagine, I really can't imagine
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RedGlass
· 2h ago
Who named the magic band low 30k's?
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RetroRadioSignal
· 2h ago
Is the Realized Cap MA really this accurate? Go back and review it.
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ReflectiveKey
· 2h ago
But 66% is also a cut in half again, don't be too optimistic too early.
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PatinaTradingBell
· 2h ago
Another 10% drop will reach the target zone, bullets loaded.
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RefrigeratorMagnetContract
· 2h ago
The trend is weakening, but the absolute value still hurts.
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ZkSketcher
· 2h ago
The bottom data is consistent over the cycle, but the top is decaying—interesting.
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AirdropSideQuest
· 2h ago
84% to 66%, the bear market's teeth have indeed dulled.
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