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$BTC Interesting...
Historically, 826 Days after the halving has marked the final capitulation phase into the bear market bottom. Following this pivot, it has taken between 70–110 days to put in the major low.
That places the 826 Day pivot on July 6th, meaning the bear market bottom could form in early September.
This wasn't my base case scenario, but if price pushes higher into early July rather than lower, I'd expect this path to play out.
The 826-day halving cycle has been consistent. If history repeats, a September bottom aligns with typical Q3 weakness.
Key factors: slowing ETF flows, miner pressure, and macro uncertainty.
If BTC rallies into early July, it could be a "sell the rally" setup before the final leg down.
What's your take on RSI divergence here?