【Complete Forecast of ETH’s Future Market Trend】

Current Price: 1740.10 USDT | Analysis Time: 2026.06.23 00:54

24 Hours: +0.68% | Range: 1702.00~1779.90 | Trading Volume: About 434 million USDT

I. Quick Overview of the Full-Cycle Market Picture

1-Hour Cycle:

In the intraday session, ETH rebounded from around 1702, surged to a high of 1779.90, and then pulled back. The current price has returned to around the 1-hour Bollinger middle band. The 1-hour Bollinger middle band is about 1741, the upper band about 1775, and the lower band about 1708. The short-term bulls’ repair is still underway, but after the spike they failed to hold above 1775, indicating that a clear sell-off pressure has appeared in the 1761~1780 range. The current RSI is about 51—neither overheated in the short term nor strongly bullish—so it falls into neutral consolidation after a pullback from a high.

4-Hour Cycle:

The 4-hour timeframe is still in a rebound-repair structure. The price is currently above the 4-hour Bollinger middle band, but it has not truly established itself above the upper band. The 4-hour Bollinger middle band is about 1729, the upper band about 1761, and the lower band about 1698. That means the short-term structure above 1729 has not been broken, but 1761~1780 is the first strong resistance. Only if the 4-hour timeframe re-establishes above 1780 will the rebound have a chance to continue toward 1834~1850.

Daily Cycle:

The daily chart has returned above the Bollinger middle band. The daily middle band is about 1704, the upper band about 1834, and the lower band about 1573. This structure suggests ETH has moved out of its weakest state, but it has not yet entered a daily main uptrend wave. The current daily RSI is about 56, which indicates a moderate repair—not extreme bullish strength. To truly turn bullish, it needs a breakout with volume above 1834~1850; otherwise, it is likely to keep trading in a broad range around 1700~1850.

Weekly/Monthly Cycles:

The weekly timeframe is still in a low-level recovery zone after a major decline. The weekly Bollinger middle band is about 2037, and the lower band is about 1621. The current price is still below the weekly middle band, indicating that the long-cycle trend has not fully reversed. The monthly Bollinger middle band is about 2789, and the current price is still far from it. For the long term, this can only be defined as a bottoming recovery; it is not appropriate to prematurely judge it as a bull market main uptrend.

II. Key Support and Resistance

Short-Term Resistance: 1761~1780

Daily Strong Resistance: 1834~1850

Weekly Resistance: 2007~2037

Short-Term Support: 1730~1729

Core Defense: 1708~1702

Deep Support: 1666~1621

Extreme Dip-Buy Zone: 1573~1505

III. Forecast of Price Action by Timeframe

Short term, for 1~3 trading days:

Path A, Probability 66%: ETH continues to face pressure in the 1761~1780 range. After topping, it will pull back and trade with consolidation in the 1730~1708 range. As long as 1702 is not broken effectively to the downside, this is still a normal pullback. There should be another opportunity for a second rebound afterward.

Path B, Probability 34%: ETH rallies with volume and holds above 1780, and the short term continues to push toward 1834~1850. If it can continue to hold above 1850, only then is there a chance to challenge the weekly resistance zone of 2007~2037.

Medium term, for 1~4 weeks:

Path 1, Probability 60%: ETH holds near the daily middle band around 1704 and continues box-range consolidation around 1700~1850 to digest overhead trapped positions gradually. If there is a volume breakout above 1850 later, the medium-term target can be seen toward 2007~2037.

Path 2, Probability 40%: If ETH breaks below 1702 and the 4-hour timeframe cannot quickly recover, it means this rebound has failed and the price may retest 1666~1621. If market sentiment continues to weaken, 1573~1505 will become the key long-term observation zone.

IV. Spot Practical Trading Guidance

For Users Holding Positions:

If the price rebounds into the 1761~1780 range, it is not recommended to keep chasing and adding at higher levels. If your position is heavy, you can reduce slightly to realize short-term profits while keeping a core position and watching whether 1702 can hold. If later it breaks and holds above 1780 with volume, you can continue to look toward 1834~1850; if it breaks below 1702, it indicates that the short-term structure has weakened, and you should reduce your position to defend.

For Users with No Positions:

The current price is in a neutral-to-repairing zone, which is not suitable for heavily chasing upward. For a more conservative dip-buy range, look at 1730~1708; for more aggressive traders, small-position trial trades can be considered. A safer staging/accumulation range is 1666~1621. In case of an extreme pullback, 1573~1505 is the key long-term observation zone.

Risk Control Reminder:

ETH is currently in a rebound-repair phase, not a one-way main uptrend. In the short term, do not fill your position and chase at resistance levels, and do not use high leverage to bet on a breakout. Spot positions can be built in batches, but the core defense level at 1702 must be given sufficient attention.

V. Follow-Up Verification Standards

After 24 hours, focus on three key levels:

First, whether it can effectively hold above 1780. If it holds, the short-term bulls remain dominant and the next look is 1834~1850.

Second, whether it pulls back to 1730~1708 and stabilizes. If it stabilizes, it means this is only a normal shakeout, and there is still a chance for a second rebound.

Third, whether it breaks below 1702. If it breaks, this rebound is likely to fail, and you will need to look again toward 1666~1621.

Conclusion:

ETH has already been repaired out of a weak range in the short term, but resistance in the 1761~1780 area is clear. Chasing at the current price has mediocre risk-reward. A better strategy is to wait for a pullback to confirm support, or wait for a volume breakout above 1780 to judge whether the trend continues. The most important dividing line right now is 1702: if it is held, it is a consolidation-and-repair phase; if it breaks, it re-enters a weak pullback phase.