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The volume of crypto card transactions in the first half of 2026 has already matched the volume for all of 2025: $4.3B from January through June, compared to $4.6B for all of last year. My forecast: by the end of 2026, the volume will reach $10B .
However, I do not expect this pace to continue linearly. Tighter regulation and structural changes in the market are holding back the growth of the card segment - part of the volume is shifting to alternative channels, and new requirements for issuers and compliance are raising the barrier to entry.
Therefore, my forecast is based on a conservative scenario: by the end of 2026, the volume will be around $10B, and no more.