BTC Big Pie 6.22 00:00-09:30 Complete Morning Board Analysis

I. Market Trend Review (0:00—9:30)

1. 00:00—03:30
Overnight, the three major U.S. stock indices all closed higher across the board. The NASDAQ and the S&P 500 strengthened, boosting short-term risk appetite. BTC opened near 63,950 and rose slightly, testing the key sell-pressure zone around 64,680. After touching it, bullish volume quickly shrank, the hourly chart printed a long upper shadow, and price fell back under 64,000 into a narrow sideways range. Bulls and bears entered a stalemate, with reduced volume.
At the macro level, U.S. Treasury yields remained elevated, and the U.S. dollar index was relatively strong in a choppy range. Combined with continuous, small net outflows from spot ETFs, bulls lacked sustained upside momentum. The rebound was merely an oversold rebound/repair, with no strength for a trend reversal.

2. 03:30—07:00 (Deep Bottoming and Consolidation)
Price kept compressing and swinging back and forth within the 63,700-64,200 range. On the 15/30-minute charts, the Bollinger Bands were extremely tightly contracted, and volatility dropped sharply. MACD on the hourly chart showed the beginnings of a bullish crossover below the zero line, but the increase in red histogram bars was extremely weak—indicating weak repairs. The short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 continued to press down from above. Every rebound met short-term sell orders that “smacked” the price; at the bottom, support was scattered, with no major orders from major players stepping in to hold up the floor.

3. 07:00—09:30 (Slight Weakness and Pressure in the Morning)
In the Asian session, retail sell pressure gradually became apparent. The price broke below the lower end of the range at 63,700 support and the low dipped to around 63,300. Then it rebounded slightly to hover around 63,500. Across the entire network, short-term longs were slightly liquidated; leveraged long positions exited on stop-losses, which intensified the slight downside move. Overall, the market remained a weak consolidation after a longer-cycle decline, and it did not break out into a one-direction trend.

II. Key Technical Price Levels (Effective Range 0-9:30)

Resistance levels (from top to bottom)

1. Short-term heavy resistance: 64,600-64,700 (early-morning spike high; dense sell-pressure area. Without a breakout on volume, the rebound fails)

2. Relay resistance: 65,200 (4-hour Bollinger middle band; the midpoint bearish line between short- and mid-term)

3. Strong resistance: 66,500-66,800 (daily MA20; concentrated trapped-position area. This rebound will be difficult to break through all at once) $BTC $ETH
$BTC $ETH #美伊谈判第一轮结束