$1730 ETH, who is really fooling you into selling?

First look at the surface: grim, but not crashing.

It’s up 3% in the past 7 days, a breath of relief after climbing out of the $1500 abyss. But in 30 days, it’s still down 18.7%, 65% below last year’s all-time high of $4950. Market cap has fallen to $209 billion, ETH/BTC ratio is scraping the floor. The candlestick chart shows: strong support at $1670-$1700, RSI at 42 neutral, MACD just issued a buy signal—bears are tired, bulls are gathering.

First thing: EF executives have left, but institutions are frantically “buying the dip.”

Ethereum Foundation co-director Hsiao-Wei Wang resigned, several other executives left this year. A former contributor even said: core developer funding might run out in 9 months.

But

Tom Lee’s Bitmine is massively increasing ETH holdings, with positions over hundreds of billions of dollars

Morgan Stanley applied for a low-cost ETH/SOL ETF

Although spot ETF inflows have recently slowed, total net inflow still exceeds $6.8 billion

Second thing: How cheap is ETH at $1730?

Fallen from $4946 to $1730, a 65% drop. Historically, ETH’s bear market bottom has been around 75-80% (2022 FTX crash from $4800 to $880, -81%).

In other words, even if it drops further, the space is only 10-15%. The upside potential is double or more from here.

Third thing: a critical technical signal has appeared

Daily/4H timeframe:

Price has held above the Ichimoku cloud, forming a series of higher lows and higher highs

Clear accumulation and consolidation in the $1670-$1685 range, buyers actively defending cloud support

MACD just issued a buy signal

But don’t get too excited—weekly chart still leans bearish, monthly even strongly bearish, and long-term moving averages (50/100/200 days) are all above $1900-$2360.

So now it’s about short-term bottoming, medium-term buildup, long-term waiting for the wind.

Bull-bear showdown, you decide

One side is:

EF executives continuously leaving, core development funding may run out

Monthly down 18%, weekly leaning sell, long-term moving averages pressing down

Federal Reserve not cutting rates, liquidity tight

Competitors like Solana are eating market share

The other side is:

$1650-$1700 can’t fall further, strong buying support

Top institutions like Tom Lee and Morgan Stanley are buying

Glamsterdam upgrade imminent, MACD on the technicals has turned buy

From ATH down 65%, approaching historical limit, risk-reward ratio is excellent

Key levels:

Resistance above: 1800 → 1850 → 1900-1920 → 2000

Support below: 1700 → 1670 → 1650 (if broken, look at 1500-1600)

Conservative:

Wait for a pullback to the 1670-1700 zone to build positions gradually. Stop loss at 1650, target 1800-1850 (6-10% rebound), break above 1850 to see 1900-2000. Very favorable risk-reward—60 dollars stop loss downward, 150 dollars upside potential.

Aggressive:

Try small longs near 1730, stop loss at 1700, target 1800-1850. Once above 1850, add positions, look for 1900-2000. Keep total position within 10%.

Long-term believers:

Start DCA below 1700, add every 5% drop. Target 2200-2500 in late 2026; if Fed shifts policy + ETF inflows resume, hitting 3000+ by year-end is not a dream.

Risk management:

No more than 10% of total assets in a single coin

Spot or less than 3x leverage

Watch Glamsterdam upgrade progress and ETF fund flows

ETH now is like Bitcoin at the start of 2023—

Everyone was saying “Bitcoin is useless,” then the ETF passed and doubled.

Every panic is a wealth transfer beginning. And this time, the transfer is: retail panic selling, institutions buying the dip.

$1730 ETH, you won’t regret buying, only regret not buying enough. #我的Gate交易时刻 #美伊谈判推迟 $BTC $ETH $SOL