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6.21 Sunday BTC Long-term Strategy for Next Week
Another week has quickly passed, and a new week begins
Long-term strategy analysis
Looking ahead to next week, Bitcoin's overall trend remains volatile and weak, with the main bearish sentiment unchanged. On the macro front, the hawkish expectations of the Federal Reserve continue to suppress the market, high interest rate environments remain a bearish factor for risk assets, combined with ongoing outflows from spot ETFs and insufficient new capital, the rebound in the market is only a technical correction, with no signs of a reversal. Next week, key US inflation and employment data will be released intensively, causing increased market volatility. Regardless of whether the data is good or bad, it will be difficult to change the overall weak structure.
From a technical perspective, the weekly and daily bearish structures are intact, with heavy selling pressure above, and the rebound is weak with declining volume and obvious volume-price divergence. The key resistance next week is 66,500–66,800, with a high probability of a stalling rally and a pullback; short-term support is at 64,800, which is weak, and the critical bull-bear dividing line is 63,500. Once effectively broken, a new round of secondary bottoming will begin.
The overall rhythm next week will be dominated by a rise followed by a fall and weak oscillations. In terms of operation, avoid chasing longs, avoid blindly bottom-fishing, and stick to the idea of a rebound facing resistance and looking for a correction.
Long-term layout is as follows
Gradual positioning in the 67,000–68,500 range for long-term accumulation
Defense at 69,500, target at 63,500, and if $BTC broken, see 60,000