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#预测世界杯德国VS科特迪瓦
Germany vs Ivory Coast – World Cup 2026 Group E Matchday 2
Both teams won their openers – Germany demolished Curacao 7-1. Ivory Coast edged Ecuador 1-0 with a 90th-minute winner from Amad Diallo. The winner of this match virtually guarantees a spot in the Round of 32. Germany sit top on goal difference. Ivory Coast are right behind them.
The Opta supercomputer ran 25,000 simulations. Germany wins in 44.4% of them. Ivory Coast wins in 30.0%. Draw sits at 25.6%. Another site gives Germany a 61.4% chance, Ivory Coast 17.6%, draw 21%.
Germany have won 10 straight matches across all competitions – their longest winning streak since a 12-game run between May 1979 and June 1980. Ivory Coast have also won five straight and nine of their last 11.
The Odds
Germany are heavy favourites:
· Moneyline: Germany -182 to -195, Ivory Coast +450 to +490, Draw +360 to +370
· Spread: Germany -1.5 (+146)
· Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals (-154), Under 2.5 (+159)
Key Stats That Matter
Germany's attack is relentless – 19 goals scored in their last five matches. Four of their last five results were victories in which both teams scored. A whopping 31 goals have been scored in Germany's last six matches.
Germany's defense is a question mark. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven straight World Cup matches – only between 1934 and 1954 have they endured a longer streak.
Ivory Coast's defense is solid – they have conceded just once in their last five matches and kept four clean sheets. They have allowed Under 1.5 goals to opponents in four straight matches.
The Injury Report
Germany have no injuries to report. Nagelsmann can name an unchanged side.
Ivory Coast have issues. Forward Elye Wahi was unable to join the squad due to documentation issues linked to an investigation in France – he is now permitted to enter Canada but not expected to feature. Roma defender Evan N'Dicka is out with a thigh injury.
Projected Lineups
Germany (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Kimmich, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown; Nmecha, Pavlovic; Sané, Musiala, Wirtz; Havertz.
Ivory Coast (4-4-2): Y. Fofana; Doue, Singo, Agbadou, Konan; Diallo, Kessie, S. Fofana, Diomande; Bonny, Toure.
The Tactical Battle
Germany's 4-2-3-1 gives them control through the centre without sacrificing width. Felix Nmecha and Aleksandar Pavlovic form the double pivot. The trio of Wirtz, Musiala and Sané behind Havertz is one of the most technically complete in the tournament.
Ivory Coast will likely defend deep and hit on the counter using the speed of their wingers – especially Yan Diomande who lit up their opening match. Amad Diallo is the creative force after his late winner against Ecuador.
The Pick
Germany are the better side. The talent gap is real – Musiala, Wirtz, Havertz, Sané against a solid but unspectacular Ivory Coast defense. But that German backline is leaky. Seven straight World Cup matches without a clean sheet is not a coincidence. Ivory Coast have the pace to exploit it.
Two bets stand out:
Germany to win and both teams to score – four of Germany's last five wins had both teams scoring. Ivory Coast have scored in eight of their last ten. The Germans win but they rarely shut the door cleanly.
Over 2.5 Goals – Germany scored 31 goals in their last six matches. They average 3.8 goals per game. Ivory Coast's defense is solid but Germany's attack is relentless. Over 2.5 at -154 is the cleaner bet.
Score Prediction: Germany 3-1 Ivory Coast