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🔴Approximately 79% of Bitcoin's circulating supply is currently held by long-term holders (LTH) — the highest level ever recorded.
This ratio has previously increased during near-bottom phases of the bear market, which can be seen as a sign that the market is close to reaching the bottom of the downtrend.
🔴The amount of BTC "held for at least 2 years" that has moved is only about 218,500 BTC in the first half of 2026. Compared to the same period in the previous downtrend, which was 1.18 million BTC.
Clearly, selling pressure from LTH has decreased significantly, not to mention some of them are just changing wallets to upgrade security.
🔴According to the latest data, LTH has accumulated about 125,000 BTC in June — one of the largest accumulation phases of the cycle,
If the 4-year cycle theory still holds, the bull run will restart sometime around November this year.