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#美伊谈判推迟 The delay in US-Iran negotiations has, in the short term, clearly negatively impacted the crypto market, mainly triggered by "uncertainty" leading to risk-averse sentiment.
The market responded with real money: within 24 hours of Swiss officials confirming the talks were canceled, Bitcoin briefly dropped below $62,000, with over 120k traders liquidated, and mainstream coins like Ethereum and SOL collectively falling.
The core logic behind this panic is:
· The market fears "expectation failure": just a week ago, the market was still speculating on the positive news of "signing an agreement within 24 hours." When high expectations were suddenly disrupted by "logistical issues" and the Israel conflict, disappointment was quickly amplified.
· Risk aversion mode activated: as geopolitical risks escalate, funds tend to withdraw from risk assets like Bitcoin. This incident once again confirms that during actual geopolitical conflicts, cryptocurrencies are often viewed as risk assets rather than safe havens, consistent with previous academic research conclusions.
However, this decline is more of a short-term emotional release. The key to a subsequent rebound depends on whether the talks are merely postponed rather than broken. If the situation eases again and the geopolitical risk premium diminishes, it could attract funds that had been on the sidelines back into the market. You should first watch whether the key level of $63,000 can hold.