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Today’s market, I don’t want to start from the levels.
Starting from the levels, it’s easy to turn into the old pattern: where’s the top, where’s the bottom, looks professional but doesn’t really get to the core.
What I want to say more today is that this market feels a bit “awkward.”
BTC was pushed down near 62K yesterday, and today it climbed back above 63K.
You say it’s weak, but it didn’t continue to deteriorate.
You say it’s strong, but it doesn’t have that kind of aggressive push to snap back the sentiment.
The market isn’t unresponsive.
It’s just responding in a stingy way.
After Wosh’s speech this time, the old script of “waiting for rate cuts, waiting for liquidity injections, waiting for Bitcoin to take off” is clearly no longer as effective.
The Fed doesn’t like to give spoilers, and rate cut expectations aren’t as sweet, so the crypto market can only test the waters itself.
I don’t dislike this recovery today.
But I won’t call it “the market is back.”
A truly recovered market isn’t just a few small green candles making people happy, but feeling that the market has regained some courage.
That feeling isn’t here yet.
ETH is similar; staying above 1700 indicates the sentiment isn’t completely bad.
But it’s not leading the rally, more like following BTC’s breath.
So what I care about most today isn’t how much it’s risen.
What I care about is: after this wave of recovery, will the market start to have some temper?
If BTC stays above 63K without dropping, it means there are indeed people slowly accumulating below.
If it quickly shrinks back when things get lively, then it’s the old problem: giving you hope but not the confidence.
This market isn’t a quick reversal.
It’s more like testing everyone’s patience.