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#美伊谅解备忘录已完成电子签署 It's over. Truly over.
Earlier, I was still hoping that the U.S.-Iran reconciliation could give us some support, but right after the memorandum was signed, the market gave me a harsh lesson.
$BTC 63,145
It dropped nearly 2% in 24 hours.
The resistance at 63,861 that I mentioned before is holding firm.
The rebound is just a fake move.
This kind of movement I fear the most—no sharp plunge, but a slow, depressing decline.
It wears you down until you can't hold on and have to cut losses.
$ETH 1,714
It's falling even harder than Bitcoin.
A 1.5% drop may seem small,
but DeFi funds are continuously flowing out.
It’s now the one that can break support with just a slight shake of $BTC.
$DOGE is even worse.
0.0833, -2.87%
Sentiment tokens get double hit in a bear market.
The group that chased the high at 0.0884 earlier has all gone silent.
Now, trying to run is impossible.
I looked through four charts.
$BTC is holding the decline but not rebounding.
$ETH is losing excessively.
$SOL is on the verge of a leveraged liquidation at any moment.
$DOGE sentiment trading continues to flee.
This wave isn’t just a simple negative event.
It’s a continuation of the rate hike downtrend.
The geopolitical easing pulse has long been digested.
What’s left is just the battle among existing funds.
I have one thought right now—
A rebound is an opportunity to reduce positions.
It’s not a signal to go long.
Speaking of which,
The electronic version of the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding has been officially signed.
The Pakistani Prime Minister confirmed the Strait is open and the blockade is lifted.
But Iran demands the U.S. end the Hormuz blockade within 30 days,
or the agreement faces uncertainty.
At the same time, both sides enter a 60-day nuclear negotiation window.
On the surface, this is positive for shipping and crude oil.
But for the crypto world,
After the geopolitical premium is drained,
Funds will only be more concentrated in $BTC.
Altcoins and meme tokens’ liquidity will be further drained.
For assets like $ETH and $DOGE, which rely on sentiment,
It will only get more painful.
Do you think this position can still hold?
Or should we exit first and wait for a clearer direction?