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📌 JUNE 2026 THIRD WEEK: MACRO AND CRYPTO MARKET ANALYSIS
1. Bitcoin (BTC): Whales Distributing, Eyes on July
Bitcoin price is consolidating around $65,800 - $66,000 following recent outflows from spot ETFs. While institutional profit-taking and long-term investor supply distribution suppress short-term momentum, derivatives markets and Polymarket predictions are forecasting a recovery for BTC to $71,000 and above in July. Although the 200-day moving average trending downward indicates weak technical strength, retail appetite remains lively.
US Stock Markets: AI Rally and "S&P 500" Targets
US stock markets continue to trade near their all-time highs. The S&P 500 index is stabilizing between 7,430 and 7,510 points, with corporate profitability expected to grow by 25% this year.
Bank Targets: Wells Fargo revised its year-end target to the 7,800 - 8,000 range, citing strong AI investments. Goldman Sachs maintains its 8,000-point target.
Macro Risk: After diplomatic talks between the US and Iran, Brent crude oil falling below $80 eased inflation concerns somewhat, but there is talk that the Fed may skip interest rate cuts in the second half of the year.