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June 18 Thursday Midday Market Analysis
The Federal Reserve decision has been implemented, appearing not to raise interest rates on the surface but actually adopting a very hawkish stance, causing Bitcoin to drop by 2 points directly.
Interest rates indeed remain steady at 3.75% as expected by the market, but the dot plot directly poured cold water on the market.
Among the 18 officials, half predict another rate hike by 2026, with the year-end median rate raised to 3.8%, and inflation expectations also increased to 3.3%, shattering the expectation of rate cuts.
Once the news broke, BTC immediately fell by 2%, hitting a low of 64,300.
Institutions give a range estimate: before the Federal Reserve signals easing, Bitcoin is likely to fluctuate between 60,000 and 67,000.
The overall macro environment is tightening, making it difficult for short-term prices to break out into a strong upward trend. Operations should focus on buying low and selling high within the range, avoiding blindly holding long positions.
BTC trading suggestion: Short around 64,500, take profit at 63,500-62,800, stop loss at 65,000.
ETH trading suggestion: Short around 1,750, take profit at 1,720-1,680, stop loss at 1,780.