6/18 Strategy Analysis



Bearish resonance across the weekly, daily, 12-hour, and 4-hour charts, with narrow-range oscillation on 1H/15M/5M;

Short at the rebound resistance zone; go long with a minimal position at the core support zone.

Short entry conditions:

1. 15-minute K bearish pattern: Evening Star, Bearish Engulfing, long upper shadow, doji cross at high levels;

2. 5-minute: MACD death cross; KDJ turns downward from high levels; WR is deep in the overbought zone.

Long entry conditions:

15-minute K bullish pattern: long lower shadow hammer line, bullish engulfing covering bearish, bottom doji bottom pattern;

5-minute indicator resonance: MACD bullish divergence forming a golden cross; KDJ golden cross at low levels; WR deep in the oversold zone.

Short strategy:

1. Main-force conservative short: best position 1813–1821, stop loss at 1818; first take profit at 1764.21 after 1858; second take profit at 1716.83; move the core position to break even to protect principal while holding for the long term.

2. Trend-following short: stop loss at 1777 with 1755–1762; first take profit at 1725; second take profit at 1700; move the core position to break even to protect principal while holding for the long term.

3. Speculative short-term long: stop loss at 1700 with 1717–1727; first take profit at 1764; second take profit at 1795; move the core position to break even to protect principal while holding for the long term.

4. Ultra-short-term speculative: after stabilizing at 1745–1748, take profit at 1780; stop loss before the low at 1720.

Personal view only for reference, not a recommendation. Profit and loss are your own responsibility! #ETH行情分析
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