Based on today's (June 17) market situation, the core judgment is: before the Federal Reserve FOMC decision is announced, Ethereum is likely to remain in a range-bound oscillation, suitable for light positions to buy low and sell high, but risk must be strictly controlled, and wait for a clear direction.

📊 Core Market Scan

· Current price: approximately $1,793 - $1,804, the market is in a sideways consolidation phase after a sharp rise.
· Trend characterization: It is a technical correction within the daily downtrend, not a reversal. The medium- and long-term moving averages (50-day, 100-day) form strong resistance, RSI is below 50, indicating weak bullish buying pressure.
· Macro focus: Tonight’s Federal Reserve FOMC decision (including dot plot) is the key variable for the day, with cautious market sentiment during the daytime.

📈 Key Support and Resistance

· Resistance above: $1,780 - $1,800 (intraday short-term pressure zone, also a dividing line between strength and weakness); $1,870 - $1,910 (strong resistance at the daily level).
· Support below: $1,710 - $1,720 (first line of defense on the hourly chart); $1,645 - $1,655 (lifeline of the rebound structure, a break below indicates the end of the correction).

💡 Today's Strategy Reference

Before the news is released, the price is likely to fluctuate within the $1,720 - $1,800 range. Operation-wise, it is recommended to strictly control positions and trade quickly in and out.

· Long opportunity: If the price stabilizes at the support zone of $1,710 - $1,720 (shows a stopping decline candlestick), try a small long position, targeting $1,780 - $1,800.
· Short opportunity: If the price rebounds to the resistance zone of $1,780 - $1,800 and faces pressure (shows a long upper shadow), try a small short position, targeting $1,715 - $1,720.
· Risk avoidance: Do not hold heavy positions before the FOMC decision. If the price consolidates sideways, it’s better to stay on the sidelines.

⚠️ Risk Warning: Volatility may be extremely high before and after the FOMC announcement. Ethereum is more sensitive to interest rates than Bitcoin; if the dot plot leans hawkish, the decline could far exceed BTC. Be sure to reduce leverage (recommended ≤3x), strictly set stop-losses, or reduce positions in advance to avoid needle-prick risks. The above analysis is based on market information and does not constitute investment advice. Please make trading decisions based on real-time market conditions. #感谢关注︱互动︱评论︱转发