Kalshi's perpetual contracts have surpassed $5.5 billion in trading volume in just two weeks, a remarkable figure for any centralized exchange, let alone a prediction market. Co-founder Tarek Mansour has already stated plans to expand perpetual contracts beyond digital assets, engaging with regulators to add other asset classes.


Kalshi's uniqueness lies in its compliance with CFTC regulations, with all contracts being event-based derivatives rather than traditional crypto perpetuals. This means it could serve as a new bridge connecting traditional finance and crypto derivatives—if regulators approve, stocks, interest rates, and commodities could all be traded on-chain as compliant perpetual contracts.
However, most of the $5.5 billion trading volume may come from native crypto users engaging in arbitrage or speculation, and genuine institutional participation remains to be verified. Additionally, expanding into other asset classes involves more complex regulatory battles, and jurisdiction disputes between the SEC and CFTC could slow down progress. Whether Kalshi's path can succeed depends on its ability to find sufficiently large liquidity pools within a compliant framework.
$cex #cftc #defi #链上数据 #Regulation
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