6.16 Morning Thought Analysis and Trading Suggestions

Thought Analysis:
Bitcoin, the altcoin "Ether" , 15-minute cycle trend is highly synchronized, with a steep rise in the early morning followed by a stepwise downward structure. Bitcoin high point 67,255.4, low point 66,065.1; "Ether" high point 1,848.78, low point 1,781.87. Highs and lows continue to decline, establishing a short-term bearish trend. Capital at high levels is concentrated in long leverage liquidations, with increased volume on declines and reduced volume on rebounds. On-chain funds continue to flow out, and the buying support is weak. Technical indicators: MACD green bars continue to expand, KDJ and RSI remain in the downward zone, with no effective bottom divergence reversal signals. On the macro side, weak US stocks suppress risk assets, crypto ETFs see continuous outflows, and geopolitical tensions heighten risk aversion, significantly reducing market risk appetite. The current slight rebound from lows is only a weak correction during the decline; rebound resistance is limited, and the short-term bearish dominance makes it difficult to reverse the market pattern.
Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin rebound near 67,000-67,500, short at 65,300, 64,000.
"Ether" rebound near 1,800-1,820, short at 1,760, 1,700. #比特币反弹 $BTC $ETH