#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票 This Week's US Stock Trading Guide

Macro Analysis
Last Friday experienced a rare sharp decline, with several reasons:
1. Strong non-farm payroll data increased rate hike expectations, causing the 10-year US Treasury yield to rise above 4.5%. Although the market surged in the past two months, ignoring the data's impact, this old issue is always remembered and can be used to trigger a sell-off when needed.
2. AVGO's earnings guidance fell short of expectations, leading to profit-taking in previously overbought chip stocks, including storage stocks which also saw significant pullbacks.
3. Major IPOs. SpaceX is set to go public this week, raising hundreds of billions of dollars. Historically, the market tends to pull back five days before a major IPO; besides SpaceX, giants like Anthropic and OpenAI are also preparing for IPOs, with market caps exceeding one trillion dollars and raising hundreds of billions. The simultaneous IPOs of three giants and the upcoming yen rate hike add to capital outflows.
These three factors caused the rare big drop on Friday. After the decline started on Wednesday, a strong rebound on Thursday was confusing, masking the intention of the Friday plunge, leaving many users heavily loss-making on their holdings.

The market trend this week is expected to be a slight rebound on Monday and Tuesday due to oversold conditions last Friday, with a fluctuation range of 7400-7500. The listing of SPCX on Friday puts significant pressure on the market this week; next week, the Federal Reserve's rate decision and Powell’s first appearance will be very important and sensitive. If CPI data is high, rate hike expectations will intensify, and the market may continue to decline. Therefore, even if there is a rebound on Monday and Tuesday, the market remains fragile. If major players start selling, further dips are possible. Do not rush to buy the dip. The IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI are the core reasons for recent and upcoming market declines, compounded by the yen rate hike next week; close monitoring of US Treasury yields and the yen exchange rate is essential.
This decline is a technical correction after a sustained rally and a safe-haven response to the policy uncertainty in mid-June and the yen rate hike. Before June 18, the risk of market decline remains high. The correct approach now is to reduce positions, maintaining 30-40% of holdings, focusing on core stocks in the computing power, chip, and optical module sectors. These stocks tend to rebound more strongly if the market recovers; if the market falls, they are more resilient, and adding positions at psychological support levels is advisable.

This week’s focus is on earnings reports from ORCL and ADBE:
ORCL: Last September’s earnings surged 35%, offering 100x and 1000x options opportunities. Later, due to excessive capital expenditure, ORCL’s stock weakened; if capital expenditure continues to expand and debt rises, the stock may decline further. If earnings beat expectations and debt concerns are alleviated, it will rally. Implied volatility in options suggests about a 12% potential move up or down. ADBE: Last earnings report saw a sharp decline because the AI business segment and revenue were not reflected, risking being replaced by AI; if it fails to deliver AI results again, it will continue to fall. Conversely, if it finds a clear AI direction, it could surge. ADBE’s management is honest and conservative, less prone to hype, so the latter scenario is more likely.

Sector Analysis
SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12. Due to limited allocation, subscription ratios have exceeded 20x, with a one-year lock-up for existing shareholders. The first-day rise is likely, with an estimated 20% increase; this is directly negative for ASTS and also negative for RKLB, which has drained sector funds. Recommended to buy SATS+GOOGSATS: holding 2.1% stake; GOOG: holding 4.8%.

Data Center - Computing Power
Data center computing power is currently unable to meet demand; continue buying and holding.
NBIS+IREN: buy in stages at 205, 180, 160
IREN: buy in stages at 48, 42, 33

Data Center - Chips and Optical Modules
Last week’s correction was a short-term profit-taking, with fundamentals unchanged. Bottom-fishing and holding are recommended.
Lite+GLW: buy in stages at 850, 700
GLW: buy in stages at 162, 130

Drones
The US Department of Defense has increased funding for drones in 2027; recent stock prices are relatively low, suitable for buying on dips. AVAV+UMAC+RCAT

Major Events This Week
June 8, Monday
Pre-market earnings: Fuel Cell Energy (FCEL), Optical Cable (OCC)
Major event: Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC26) at 01:00 the next day.
Important data: 23:00 US May NY Fed 1-year inflation expectations, 3.64%
June 9, Tuesday
Important data: 18:00 US May NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, 95.9
20:15 US weekly change in ADP employment (ten thousand), 3.575
June 10, Wednesday
Post-market earnings: 【Oracle (ORCL)】
Important data: 20:30 US May seasonally adjusted CPI monthly rate, 0.60%, 0.50%
20:30 US May core CPI monthly rate, 0.40%, 0.30%
20:30 US May unadjusted CPI annual rate, 3.80%, 4.20%
20:30 US May unadjusted core CPI annual rate, 2.80%, 2.90%
June 11, Thursday
Post-market earnings: Lennar (LEN), Adobe (ADBE)
Important data: 20:30 US weekly initial jobless claims (ten thousand), 22.5, 21.9
20:30 US May PPI monthly rate, 1.40%, 0.7%, not yet released
20:30 US May PPI annual rate, 6.00%, 6.4%, not yet released
June 12, Friday
SPCX IPO: usually around 2 PM during trading hours
Important data: 22:00 US June University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index preliminary, 44.8, 46
22:00 US June 1-year inflation expectations preliminary, 4.80%