June 8, 2026 BTC Technical Analysis + Intraday Strategy (Current Price ≈ 63,250 USDT)

1. Trend Qualitative Analysis

• Major Trend: May high point at 82,000 → retracement of about 22%, establishing a technical bear market.

• Today's Structure: Weekend dip to 59,101 followed by a rebound, indicating oversold correction during a downtrend, not a reversal.

• Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index = 8 (Extreme Fear), ETF funds are cautious.

2. Key Price Levels (Intraday)

• Strong Resistance: 64,500 / 65,000 / 66,500

• Strong Support: 62,500 / 60,000 / 59,100

3. Technical Snapshot (Daily + 4H)

• Daily:

◦ Price below EMA15/30/60, moving averages are in a bearish alignment.

◦ MACD below zero line, green bars shrinking, weakening bearish momentum, not reversed.

◦ RSI ≈ 26, severely oversold, indicating a rebound need.

◦ Bollinger Bands opening downward, lower band support is clear.

• 4-Hour:

◦ Bullish divergence forming, short-term rebound momentum; but upper moving averages exert strong resistance.

4. Intraday Trading Strategy (June 8)

1) Main Strategy: Rebound Short (Follow the Major Trend)

• Entry: Pullback from 64,500–65,000 under resistance

• Stop Loss: >65,500

• Take Profit: 62,000 → 60,000

2) Secondary Strategy: Light Long Positions at Low Levels (Oversold Rebound)

• Entry: Stabilization at 62,500–63,000

• Stop Loss: <62,000

• Take Profit: 64,300–64,500

3) Risk Control and Observation Rules

• If above 65,500: Pause short positions, shift to sideways/bullish, avoid chasing highs.

• If below 59,100: Abandon long positions, follow the trend down to 54,000–55,000.

• Position Size: Total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%, avoid heavy positions in a bear market.

5. Core Logic

• Currently a bear market rebound, not a reversal; rebound is a shorting opportunity, not a reason to chase longs.

• Macro Focus: FOMC rate decision on June 17, with increased volatility #比特币回升5% beforehand.