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Yang Guang bit | June 8 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Core Conclusion
BTC sharply declined to 59,000 then experienced an oversold rebound, reaching a high of 64,407, currently entering a phase of oscillation and pullback after the rebound. There will be no trend reversal upward; this rebound is only a continuation of the decline, and any rebound is a high-selling opportunity. The price will continue to test the 60,000 level, and a break below will open up a larger downward space.
Today's Strategy
Entry Timing
Gradually enter within the 63,800-64,500 range,
Stop Loss Setup
Stop Loss: above 65,500
Tiered Profit Taking
First Target: 62,500-62,800
Second Target: 61,800-61,500
Market Logic Breakdown
News (Authoritative sources: Xinhua News Agency, Cailian News, as of June 8 09:30)
The negative impact of May's non-farm payroll data is still ongoing, and the market has fully priced in the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates before September. A high-interest-rate environment will be maintained long-term, with risk-free returns continuously higher than risk assets, leading to ongoing capital outflows from the crypto market.
There has been no substantial progress in US-Iran negotiations; geopolitical uncertainties persist, and risk aversion sentiment has not been fundamentally alleviated.
Without any substantial positive hedging, market sentiment remains weak, and selling pressure during rebounds is extremely heavy.
Funding Situation
Bitcoin spot ETF has only seen small inflows on a single day; institutions have not heavily bottomed out, and the rebound is mainly driven by short covering rather than active long positions.
Retail traders' bottom-fishing sentiment in the futures market has increased again, with the long-short ratio quickly rising, leaving room for significant long liquidations later.
Whale addresses are still reducing holdings at highs, large sell pressure has not been fully released, and market confidence has not yet recovered.
🚀 The market will never disappoint those who are prepared; what you lack is never the trend itself but a clear strategy to precisely identify turning points. $BTC #分享美股交易赢英伟达股票