#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票

A gentleman hides his talents within himself, waits for the right time to act—My recent US stock trading review

The sky is falling! The sky is falling! This was my biggest feeling after waking up yesterday morning. The big drop in the US stocks on Friday caused my account assets to shrink by over 15%. Although this isn’t a big loss in the derivatives market, for a spot account, it’s quite “hurtful,” since the funds used are larger. I only slowly recovered from my depressed mood today and felt it was time to review my recent operations:

1. Recent Trading Summary

In a previous article, I mentioned that I now feel “too old to stay up all night,” so I can’t participate in lively T+0 intraday trading in US stocks. Instead, I analyze technically, placing limit buy and sell orders at support and resistance levels in advance, holding medium to long-term positions, and not selling until reaching target prices (you can also consider this—don’t stay up late every day, after all, you can’t buy back your health with money). Because US stocks are quite volatile, my strategy is to hold spot positions without leverage, only earning within my risk tolerance. Following this approach, I bought four stocks—Nvidia, Microsoft, Micron Technology, and Marvell Technology—on Tuesday on Gate.io. At that time, tech stocks were still soaring, and market sentiment was already FOMO. I was afraid I’d miss good prices if I hesitated, so I impulsively bought at higher prices without doing technical analysis or placing orders at key levels, which also contributed to my losses widening.

Moreover, because the market was bullish everywhere, I was confident that the tech sector wouldn’t see a big pullback. To avoid losing chips, I didn’t set stop-loss orders, which was another reason for my losses.

2. Position Review

Total position: 50%, I allocated 50% of my funds to US stocks, while the remaining 50% are still in the crypto market, waiting for Bitcoin to dip for a bottom (getting a bit off-topic 😀)

Position distribution:

Nvidia

Cost price: 214

Position share: 30%

Current price: 205.1

Loss: -5%

Micron Technology

Buy-in price: 1015

Position share: 20%

Current price: 864

Loss: -15%

Microsoft

Cost price: 441

Position share: 30%

Current price: 416.6

Loss: -8%

Marvell Technology

Buy-in price: 281

Position share: 20%

Current price: 263.47

Loss: -10%

3. Lessons Learned

After a day of “painful reflection,” I summarized the lessons from this week:

1. No stop-loss in trading: Risk control is always the top priority. Having experienced countless “beatings” in crypto, I’ve internalized this deeply. But in the stock spot market, I always think “no matter how much it drops, I won’t lose much,” and “don’t lose chips in a bull market.” When I relaxed my guard, I ignored this principle. It wasn’t until my account drawdown reached 15% that I realized “longing is a breathing pain” 😂.

2. Lost calm judgment in front of FOMO and took on too large a position: Besides risk control, position sizing is fundamental. The bullish market combined with my subconscious that small spot losses are acceptable led me to go “all-in,” using 50% of my position. This move was deadly.

3. Didn’t research stocks thoroughly before following the trend: In a bull market, I had the illusion that “buying equals earning,” so I bought without careful research. I only bought Marvell Technology because I saw Huang Renxun mention it in a news article, did a quick Baidu search, and decided to buy. The whole process was even more reckless than my all-in on altcoins...

4. Over-concentrated holdings: Stock trading generally requires diversification to reduce risk. This time, my entire position was concentrated in overvalued AI tech stocks. I had no allocation to defensive sectors like finance and healthcare, which led to huge losses when the Nasdaq collapsed.

5. Didn’t use leverage: This is the only lesson I can summarize from this operation. Given the huge swings in US stocks, if I had used leverage—even just 1x—the consequences would be unimaginable. It might not just be “crying in the toilet.”

4. Market Outlook and Trading Plan for Next Week

Finally, a forecast for next week’s market: Friday’s plunge was mainly caused by US non-farm payroll data exceeding expectations, boosting rate hike expectations, combined with some AI tech companies’ earnings missing estimates. The basic condition for AI tech stocks to run—rapid development of AI driving demand for computing power, chips, storage—has not changed. So I believe the current AI tech bull market isn’t over yet. In the first half of next week, there might be some time for negative sentiment to be digested, and US CPI data for May will also be released. Before that, I don’t expect much market volatility. In the second half of the week, after some adjustment, AI tech stocks could rebound strongly. Those with heavy positions should seize this rare “escape opportunity.”

My trading plan:

1. Set stop-loss: Given the current significant losses, sticking to the original 6%-8% stop-loss no longer makes sense. The market has already undergone a correction, and cutting losses at current prices could easily turn into chasing the rally. I plan to adopt a special stop-loss strategy—when total losses reach 25%, stop out. Based on this target, I will derive individual stock stop-loss prices inversely according to their position sizes. This leaves room for further correction and also prevents black swan events from causing catastrophic losses.

2. Use rebounds to reduce positions: My current position is “overweight,” practically “heavy position, go all out” 😂. If a rebound occurs, I plan to reduce total holdings to around 30%, mainly by clearing Marvell Technology and trimming Microsoft.

3. Appropriately allocate some defensive sectors (like healthcare ETF XLV, financial ETF XLF) to hedge against tech volatility.

Do you think my review is thorough enough? Deep enough? How are your injuries this week? Drop a comment below and share your review. Wishing everyone a turnaround and big wealth next week! Lastly, I want to share a quote: In facing the market, the priority isn’t greed but reverence. As the saying goes, “A gentleman hides his talents within himself, waits for the right time to act.”