Next week’s macro outlook: U.S. CPI, two major central bank decisions in tandem, and SpaceX’s IPO poised to make a big splash

Golden Finance reports that on June 7th, after the release of the unexpectedly strong non-farm payroll data on June 5th, market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike this year surged significantly. Spot gold closed down for the fourth consecutive week, and Deutsche Bank lowered its gold target price to $4,800 per ounce. The US dollar index surged to slightly above the 100 level. Non-dollar currencies generally maintained narrow fluctuations against the dollar, with the yen under pressure, and USD/JPY repeatedly approaching 160, prompting market attention on whether Japanese authorities will intervene.
The upcoming release of the June Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports on Wednesday and Thursday next week are highly anticipated. Forecasts indicate that the year-over-year growth rates of nominal and core CPI in the US will accelerate further, expected to reach 4.2% (the highest since June 2023) and 3%, respectively. This outcome is likely to trigger a fierce shock in global financial markets.
Meanwhile, SpaceX is set to list on NASDAQ on June 12th under the stock ticker "SPCX." The offering price is set at $135 per share, with plans to raise $75 billion. SpaceX’s IPO has attracted approximately $150 billion in investor subscriptions, double the planned fundraising amount, setting a global IPO record. The key macro events and data releases next week are as follows:
Monday: US May New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations, US weekly change in ADP employment as of May 23rd.
Tuesday: US April wholesale sales month-over-month, US weekly API crude oil inventories as of June 5th, China May CPI year-over-year.
Wednesday: US May unadjusted CPI, US May seasonally adjusted core CPI month-over-month, Bank of Canada interest rate decision as of June 10th, US weekly EIA crude oil inventories as of June 5th, Cushing crude oil inventories, US weekly EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve as of June 5th.
Thursday: Eurozone deposit facility rate, main refinancing rate as of June 11th, US weekly initial jobless claims as of June 6th, US May PPI, US weekly EIA natural gas inventories as of June 5th.
Friday: SpaceX IPO, initial forecast of US June 1-year inflation expectations, initial US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for June.
GLDX0.31%
PAXG0.35%
USIDX0.62%
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