U.S. Stock Market Outlook and Opportunity Analysis for Next Week

The Friday trading session in the U.S. stock market was really brutal, almost beyond everyone's expectations. But I still believe that the bulls won't be completely powerless, just letting the market gently break below 7,000 points—this would be extremely unfavorable for institutions to distribute their chips over the coming week. Therefore, after a sharp decline, a rebound is inevitable, and there’s a high probability of a quick rally at the market open on Monday.

In the next two days, Trump is very likely to cooperate with market-making needs on Monday by releasing some positive news, such as progress in negotiations over Iran conflicts or providing some commitments or guidance regarding Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. In the short term, the market needs to dispel fears of rate hikes, which is crucial.

Of course, there’s also a small probability event: uncontrolled negative news over the weekend, leading to further panic on Monday. Such negative news, even institutions can’t control, would be a true black swan. If it really happens, everyone will just have to bear it together.

Without considering this extreme scenario, the plan for Monday is: reduce positions on rallies, while tracking stocks that performed relatively resiliently on Friday.

Overall, I think the market will be relatively calm next week. Institutions desperately need market sentiment to support the SpaceX IPO (note: keeping your wording, though it hasn't gone public yet, I interpret it as such). If there’s a continuous vicious sell-off that destroys everyone’s confidence, the chips held by institutions will only rot in their hands. Therefore, the next storm will at least have to wait until after SpaceX’s IPO.

Based on this, you can also pay attention to major stocks releasing earnings reports next week, such as Oracle, which could present a good short-term opportunity. After all, at this critical juncture, institutions are likely to interpret their earnings positively.

The only reminder is: don’t hold a heavy position. At this point, you must ensure at least 50% of your funds are in cash. #分享美股交易赢英伟达股票