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Yang Guang bit | June 7 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Core Conclusion
Currently entering a weak rebound phase after oversold conditions. No trend reversal or upward surge will occur; this rebound is only a continuation of the decline. Any rebound is a high-selling opportunity to short, and the market will continue to test the 58,000 integer level.
Today’s Approach
Entry Timing
Gradually enter within the 61,500-62,000 range, add positions in the 62,500-63,000 range
Stop-Loss Setup
Stop-loss: above 63,500
Tiered Profit-Taking
First target: 60,000-60,500
Second target: 58,000-58,500
Market Logic Breakdown
News (Authoritative sources: Xinhua News Agency, Cailian Press, as of 13:30 on June 7)
May non-farm data completely shattered rate cut expectations; the data for the first two months was revised upward by 93k, confirming the labor market's unexpectedly strong performance. The market has shifted to pricing in further tightening by the Federal Reserve. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.52%, and the rise in risk-free yields directly drained liquidity from risk assets.
U.S.-Iran negotiations still lack substantial breakthroughs; Israel continues to stir trouble, geopolitical uncertainties remain, and safe-haven funds continue to withdraw from the crypto market.
No substantial positive news to hedge against; market sentiment remains extremely panicked, with heavy rebound selling pressure.
Funding Situation
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF funds have been continuously flowing out for several days; leading institutions like BlackRock and MicroStrategy still face selling pressure, and the trend of institutional withdrawal is clear.
Retail traders' bottom-fishing sentiment in the derivatives market remains, with high long-short ratios, leaving room for significant long-liquidation.
Whale addresses continue to net outflows; large sell pressure has not been fully released, and market confidence has not recovered.
The downtrend is complete, with no signs of reversal; after a weak rebound, the downtrend will continue.
🚀 The market will never disappoint those who are prepared; what you lack is not the market itself, but a clear mindset to accurately identify turning points $BTC #比特币ETF单日净流出7272枚