This wave of decline signals is very clear: market concerns about interest rates are intensifying. In early June, the market directly plunged without any chance of recovery, with institutions continuously withdrawing, and ETF net outflows reaching nearly $3 billion; last Friday, the US stock market plummeted, primarily because May non-farm payroll data far exceeded expectations, causing the market's expectation of rate hikes this year to jump from 50% to over 70%.


More importantly, there is a divergence in trend: Bitcoin has fallen over 30% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has risen 10%; but last Friday, the correlation between the crypto market and the S&P 500 returned to 80%, indicating that once the macro tone shifts hawkish, neither side can escape.
Next week, focus on three points for US stock positioning: first, Wednesday’s CPI data—if inflation cools down, it may ease rate hike fears; second, SpaceX IPO on Friday—whether it’s a liquidity drain or an emotional catalyst is worth watching; third, the end of earnings season—performance from Oracle and others may trigger individual stock volatility.
For long positions, maintain good defense, control position size, and short-term seek rebounds with light positions, entering and exiting quickly. Watch US stock trends, and be cautious of position risk if extreme market moves or a sudden plunge occur. Currently, market sentiment is extremely fearful; even if there is an oversold rebound, avoid heavy chasing.
BTC1.85%
SPX9.68%
SPCX4.39%
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TooUgly
· 5h ago
This wave of downward signals is very clear: market concerns about interest rates are intensifying. In early June, prices directly dropped without any chance of recovery, with institutions continuously withdrawing, and ETF net outflows reaching nearly $3 billion; last Friday, the U.S. stock market plummeted, mainly due to May's non-farm payroll data far exceeding expectations, causing market expectations for rate hikes this year to jump from 50% to over 70%.
More importantly, the trend is diverging: Bitcoin has fallen over 30% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has risen 10%; but last Friday, the correlation between the crypto market and the S&P 500 returned to 80%, indicating that once the macro tone shifts hawkish, neither side can escape.
Next week, focus on three points for U.S. stocks: first, Wednesday’s CPI data—if inflation cools down, it may ease rate hike fears; second, SpaceX IPO on Friday—whether it’s a drain on capital pools or a sentiment catalyst worth watching; third, the end of earnings season—companies like Oracle may trigger individual stock volatility.
For long positions, maintain good defense, control position sizes, and aim for short-term rebounds with light positions, entering and exiting quickly. Watch U.S. stock trends, and be cautious of extreme market moves—if a plunge occurs, pay attention to position risk. Currently, market sentiment is extremely fearful; even if there’s an oversold rebound, don’t chase heavily. Bull
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RiseFromTheAshes!
· 5h ago
This wave of downward signals is very clear: market concerns about interest rates are intensifying. In early June, the market directly plunged without any chance of recovery, institutions have been withdrawing, with nearly $3 billion net outflow from ETFs alone; last Friday, the US stock market plummeted, the direct cause being that May's non-farm payroll data far exceeded expectations, and market expectations for rate hikes this year jumped from 50% to over 70%.
More importantly, there is divergence in the trend: Bitcoin has fallen over 30% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has risen 10%; but last Friday, the correlation between the crypto market and the S&P 500 returned to 80%, indicating that once the macro tone shifts hawkish, neither side can escape.
Next week, focus on three points for US stock positioning: first, Wednesday's CPI data—if inflation cools down, it may ease rate hike fears; second, SpaceX's IPO on Friday—whether it is a liquidity drain or an emotional catalyst worth watching; third, the end of earnings season—companies like Oracle may trigger individual stock volatility.
For long positions, maintain good defense, control position size, and short-term seek rebounds with light positions, entering and exiting quickly. Watch US stock trends, and be cautious of extreme market moves—if a plunge occurs, pay attention to position risk. Currently, market sentiment is extremely fearful, so even if there is an oversold rebound, do not heavily chase. Bull
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