Wu said that Glassnode co-founder Rafael stated that Bitcoin has currently entered the bottom valuation range of the historical cycle. On-chain data models estimate that the most probable bottom area is between $46k and $54k (CVDD to realized price range); in case of extreme panic, a deeper defensive bottom line is in the $35k to $40k range. Since the retracement during each Bitcoin bear market is narrowing, the probability of a deep drop is relatively reduced. On the upside, the first key area the market needs to recover is between $75k and $79k. He emphasized that this is not a prediction, and the Bitcoin bottom cannot be precisely confirmed in advance.

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Stop-LossInTheEveningGlow
· 6h ago
The tighter things get, who can really say for sure about black swan events? Position management matters far more than trying to guess where the bottom is—and to get back on track.
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MirrorPetals
· 6h ago
CVDD reaching the implementation price within this range is indeed pretty classic, but every time they say the bottom can’t be precisely confirmed—when it really gets to 35k, can you honestly say there won’t be more FUD?
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OrangePeelRadio
· 6h ago
If this resistance zone of 75,000-79k can hold and bounce back, the market sentiment will be completely different. Right now, it's just a matter of patience.
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